At the request of associates of Mr. Milken minor corrections have been made to this post and inaccuracies fixed.
I have had, for more than twenty years, a very uncomfortable understanding of Michael Milken. After his conviction for violations of U.S. securities laws, a plea bargain, and his release from prison he returned to again champion and support those advancements necessary to increase survival from cancers (he is a prostate cancer survivor), and other serious diseases. Through his Milken Family Foundation his great work has helped to advance cures to many of the diseases. (Wikipedia BIO Here)
I have had, for more than twenty years, a very uncomfortable understanding of Michael Milken. After his conviction for violations of U.S. securities laws, a plea bargain, and his release from prison he returned to again champion and support those advancements necessary to increase survival from cancers (he is a prostate cancer survivor), and other serious diseases. Through his Milken Family Foundation his great work has helped to advance cures to many of the diseases. (Wikipedia BIO Here)
But I'm not here to praise Cesare or, for that matter bury
him, I'm here to discuss one of the more interesting essays on the current
American housing model that Milken posted this week in the Wall Street Journal.
For the most part spot on.
According to the essay, even with aggressive federal housing
programs, the poor and middle class have not been helped but hurt, and the
median net worth of Americans has dropped and is among the lowest among
developed nations. The control (through mortgage lending) of the housing market
has shifted from neighborhood banks and savings and loans to the federal
government by the lending practices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, who since
2008, have been involved in more than 95% of all new mortgages. Our illustrious
congress has tried every trick to increase home ownership yet the national
percentage of homeowners has not budged from 65%.
He points to what subsidized mortgages did do and none of
them good:
1. The largest housing bubble in American history.
2. Misguided economic priorities.
3. Damage to the environment and public health.
I tend to agree with Milken that the programs and policies
that led to easy credit, speculation, and poor lending practices eventually
contributed (for some catastrophically) to the housing bubble of the mid-2000s.
None of these were sustainable and proved that even smart people do very stupid
things. I can quibble with his comparisons to the lifestyles of other regions of
the world to American lifestyles, but it is critical that we rebalance the
priorities of education, housing, transportation and medical costs.
I also have to agree that, as he points out in #2, we have
become a nation that wants the easy way out. Make a housing mistake - like
taking on too much debt, all is forgiven (the feds will cover it). Need money -
take an equity loan, and when the bank fails for massive non-payments, the feds
will cover it. Go bankrupt – no worries or embarrassment – wasn't your fault;
you really needed that car, boat, RV, second home, etc.
What I do object to is his lazy social critique of the
physical American home and its part in this problem. Homes did grow in size, my father's
first new home in 1955 was about 850 square feet for a family of four. He was
thrilled. Today he lives in a townhome in Florida that's maybe 1625 square feet
for two people. Milken's implication is that this is just wrong, and that there
is some socially set square foot of home per person ratio that is morally and
economically correct.
Larger houses need larger lots that are usually farther from
the home owner's job. Construction, heating, cooling, landscaping and extended
commutes consume more natural resources. Because breadwinners spend more time
in cars, they have less time for their families.
On the face of it this rant is childish
logic. Crass assumptions are made about the housing-job relationship, the rapacious
economic impacts of construction, heating, cooling and landscaping of the
structures – all take, no give. Give, like the manufacturing of the products, the labor
to build the house, the production of fuel for its heating and cooling, the retail
and commercial support for these "consumers" of natural resources. And to throw
in the old canard that long commutes are the end of the civilized world –
please, we live in a world of individual choices, move on. I wish I had Mr.
Milken's driver to help me commute from my Connecticut mansion to my high-rise
office in Manhattan every day, I would have been so much more American. But I'll
put that rant aside for now.
What Mr. Milken does do very well is
throw on the table the real problem: federal meddling in loans, distortions in
the banking system, and supporting bad behavior by the American borrower. And
to make a serious point about the spread of housing (suburbia): Housing
development and construction is the least of the economic worries he should be
concerned about – it is the lack of it that is the problem. He
also notes that efforts must be undertaken to reduce the federal government's role
in direct capital investment. Greater and greater control and involvement must
be returned to the private sector and the use of private capital. The world is
currently floating in liquidity (his stated belief) and that this capital can
best be used for more that commercial real estate, it has to go into
residential real estate as well. One note though, now that the economy has
turned, the two federal agencies (Fred and Fannie) are making significant
profits on their control of the loan market – and I mean SIGNIFICANT profits,
and there is a congress just rubbing its collective hands together waiting to
get to it.
But and lastly, I still don’t see the
connections of his last remark to his housing arguments:
Investments
in quality education and improved health will do more to accelerate economic
growth than excessive housing incentives. That will give everyone a better
chance to achieve the real American dream.
There is also a video connected to the story, after which
you may wonder where Michael Milken now lives and who gave him this podium.
Stay Tuned . . . . . . .
No comments:
Post a Comment