Prime Real Estate |
An article in The Atlantic got me thinking (again) about why Texas is such a
draw. Both Houston and Dallas added more than 100,000 people during the 2013-2014
timeframe and not far behind in growth was Austin. After this past winter in
the eastern Midwest and the Eastern seaboard it is a very good bet that this
trend will continue. Throw in the insane politics of many of these areas and
the best investment during the next few years may be in moving companies.
There was a time when California
held this honor of being the prime destination of Easterners (as a kid in the
sixties I remember the Beach Boys, Little Duce Coups, Haight-Ashbury, Jefferson
Airplane, California Dreaming, all that stuff). Now they are fleeing. No water,
a democratic political machine everything political, no smoking yet marijuana
yes campaigns, did I say no water, 100 billion dollar trains to nowhere, taxes
through the roof, rents the highest in the world, home prices along the sacred
50 mile Pacific edge totally unaffordable (can’t wait to sell and get that
equity – which is a whole other market strategy), and did I mention no water.
Yes, California may have absolutely fantastic weather but it hardly makes up
for the idiots that now run this state. It was remarkably different when we
moved here in the early seventies – very different.
But, back to Texas. Americans, as we
get older like warmer weather, just ask my back. I assume that there are many
in Boston that are glad the aerobic exercise of snow shoveling has lost its
allure and fondly think of warmer climes – at least with a January temperatures
over “frost-bite.” Time magazine published an article by Tyler Cowen in late
2013 that sums up many of the reasons why Texas is the thing and America’s
future (for good or bad).
While there are a lot of issues such
as automation and the impacts on the middle-class that are driving people to
Texas, it is jobs and inexpensive housing that are the greatest draws. Housing
is less expensive in Texas and not by a small amount of money. On average you
can buy a lot more house for a lot less money than in California, New York and
almost anywhere in the Northeast. A home in the San Francisco Bay area is
impossible for under $600,000 and the same in New York. The same house on a
larger lot in a nice community in the Houston area is $200,000. That leaves a
lot of money for other things. And it’s not due to lower incomes, in all stats
after living expenses, the average middle-class Texan is wealthier than their
social equals in New York and Coastal California. Did I mention Texas also has
no income tax.
Texas is the complete opposite of
California. From economics, politics, governmental expectations, income taxes,
and a much smaller government, they are dramatically different.
One reason I suspect that people are
heading to Texas is because it is NOT
like where they live now. Americans (at one time) wanted independence and
freedom more than anything. They were told to head west, they fled the confines
of the cities and all the ills found there, they wanted safety and they wanted
to be fundamentally left alone. Nanny laws were anathemas, but we sucked it up.
We rationalized everything, accepted everything—after all we are flexible and optimistic.
But, there are still some who want to be left alone and many of them are
heading to Texas.
Stay Tuned . . . . . . .
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